ArbeeNYC
Forum Master
That's somewhat reassuring. Although I don't think Argentina wants me right now.
Tango in times of pandemic
- Thread starter rafaelomondini
- Start date
Nope. Argentina is closed even to its own citizens abroad.
There's no internal long distance travel, neither planes
nor buses/coaches. Quarantine is extended to 12th April.
But the new cases figure of 79 today just out tends
to confirm an encouraging gradual downward trend.
‘Strong evidence’ seen that Oregon’s coronavirus restrictions are working
"Oregon, for as long as we’ve had cases, is really the top performing state."
I've heard reports along similar lines for Washington State, also. Although there are MANY elder care facilities that have reported cases, and that will probably not turn out well.
I've been running daily stats for Clark county where I live, and last night I started doing linear regressions on 5 and 10 day periods. The slopes of the 5 day periods have decreased by 50% since a peak on March 27. That's with 879 tests done in a population of ~ 385,000. The number of deaths was initially rather high as a proportion of positives, but there have been no additional mortality since the 27th.
ArbeeNYC
Forum Master
I do wish them well and hope they can beat this thing. It would be encouraging.
JournalInTime
Forum Master
Thank you for asking.
As NYC is the "virus capital" of the U.S.A., Montréal is that of Canada. We have a large "snowbird" community that spends half the year in Florida, and a significant expat European community that shuttles to France (mainly) and back regularly, so travelers brought a lot of cases here. Thus, the virus has spread.
Consequently, Québec in general is under a kind of limited lockdown, Montréal more so. The police have been given the power to intervene with those gathering in groups, loitering, or doing anything other than going somewhere with a purpose. We're being asked to remain at home at all times, except when one person per household goes out once a week for supplies. Unsurprisingly, "supplies" aren't always in abundance, depending on when you shop and what you're looking for. In reality, things aren't as grim as that sounds, but people are sheltering in their homes and not very visible.
I am a highly social person, even setting aside tango, so I'm not in the best of spirits. Fortunately, I live with my girlfriend and tango partner. Unfortunately (mostly for her), she's a director of human resources, with all that implies at a time when people are being required to work from home, put on unpaid leave, or just let go; in addition, she does this for a nonprofit that serves the elderly, who are bearing the brunt of the pandemic. So she's burned out and not really up for dancing. It doesn't help that we have renovators downstairs, who apparently have a permit to keep working: noise, vibration, dust, and fumes, and we have to stay at home with it all day, every day.
At any rate, I'm polishing up my cocktail-making and cooking skills. It's a challenge when ingredients aren't reliably available, but that makes it interesting. And my mother made it back from Spain and isn't ill, so that's one less worry . . . though she's in a different city.
Tango Distance
Well-Known Member
California is behind expectations, I have heard it called the "California anomaly." It is especially interesting given multiple busy and international airports, 40 million people, and many international travelers. It's still early, we'll see.
itwillhappen
Forum Master
The home of the tango gods cannot do magic either.
200+ cases on the 31th of March counts the JohnsHopkins University now:
But as told, comparing daily numbers does not result in a happy life.
itwillhappen
Forum Master
LOL
Yes, we actually don't have a dedicated living room at all. This got a nice yoga studio, which of course is now also closed.
In normal tango times it is an advantage to live in a large metropolis. And now for a while it's probably more of a disadvantage. That's how it goes - I hope it all goes well for all of us.
Be careful how you condemn based on a supposedly one day figure.The home of the tango gods cannot do magic either.
200+ cases on the 31th of March counts the JohnsHopkins University now:
(Argentina -> Daily Increase)
But as told, comparing daily numbers does not result in a happy life.
You also have to follow how the figures are reported and, if you can,
know how the figures have been derived.
In the case of that high figure Argentina included some cases
not previously included, and I don't know the what and the why.
And it was declared late so the next day's much reduced figure
was added to that late declaration. Argentina in fact never has
had a growth of over 200 cases, it's highest was 156, this being
the somewhat artificial figure. There have been other glitches.
The daily chart on this Wikipedia page, 156 has become 146:
COVID-19 pandemic in Argentina - Wikipedia
but generally it gives a more relevant picture than other sources
such as:
Coronavirus Update (Live): 134,483,803 Cases and 2,913,828 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
Live statistics and coronavirus news tracking the number of confirmed cases, recovered patients, tests, and death toll due to the COVID-19 coronavirus from Wuhan, China. Coronavirus counter with new cases, deaths, and number of tests per 1 Million population. Historical data and info. Daily...
www.worldometers.info
This one for instance (and maybe all worldwide based records)
is reset at 0:00 UTC and because Latin America is 3 hours and
more behind and their figures are declared late a day is skipped.
Whatever and however the figures are recorded, we and others
feel safer here in Buenos Aires than being at home. Of course
that depends on individual circumstances, some are not so great.
Getting home eventually might be another problem altogether.
ArbeeNYC
Forum Master
That's encouraging. Unfortunately, New York State has 42% of the nation's positive cases now.
ArbeeNYC
Forum Master
Depending on where home is, it may be better to extend your stay in BA if possible.
itwillhappen
Forum Master
In my opinion, the virus will continue to put restrictions until a vaccine or an antidote is found. And let's not fool ourselves, whatever the restrictions may be, public dance events and maybe dance classes will be included.
itwillhappen
Forum Master
Yes, that will be a great tool for personal and business decisions. Let me assume a health care system can handle 50000 infections per day? 200 days for the first 10 millions? These would not be really relevant for pandemic decisions.